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Spread: Bills (-3.5)

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $1.6M·Volume $389.1K·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Bills100%Vikings0%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 17:41computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Bills
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
60%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$72.1K
72h +$72.1K
Smart money entered43¢100¢at 17:41(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy16h agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$1.6M
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is somewhat betting on "Bills", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 43¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$72.1K, +$72.1K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 17:41
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
16h agoethanazMidBuyBills50¢$250
16h agoethanazMidBuyBills50¢$591
16h agoethanazMidBuyBills50¢$2,410
16h agoethanazMidBuyBills43¢$8,751
16h agoethanazMidBuyBills43¢$8,751
16h agoethanazMidBuyBills42¢$5,267
16h agoethanazMidBuyBills42¢$5,267
16h ago0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816TopBuyVikings54¢$23
16h ago0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816TopBuyVikings54¢$23
16h ago0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816TopBuyVikings54¢$7,667
16h ago0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816TopBuyVikings54¢$7,667
18h agoPwaddlerTopBuyVikings52¢$10,974
18h agoPwaddlerTopBuyVikings52¢$10,974
18h agoPwaddlerTopBuyVikings52¢$1,646
18h agoPwaddlerTopBuyVikings52¢$1,646
20h agoPwaddlerTopBuyVikings52¢$21,632
23h agobands1MidBuyVikings52¢$11
23h agobands1MidBuyVikings52¢$107
23h agobands1MidBuyVikings52¢$27
23h agobands1MidBuyVikings52¢$15
23h agobands1MidBuyVikings52¢$16
23h agobands1MidBuyVikings52¢$217
23h agobands1MidBuyVikings52¢$14
23h agobands1MidBuyVikings52¢$16
23h agobands1MidBuyVikings52¢$54
1d agobands1MidBuyVikings52¢$44
1d agobands1MidBuyVikings53¢$9,987
1d agobands1MidBuyVikings53¢$5,300
1d agobands1MidBuyVikings53¢$5,300
1d agobands1MidBuyVikings53¢$9,987
1d agobands1MidBuyVikings53¢$1
1d agobands1MidBuyVikings53¢$1
1d agobands1MidBuyVikings53¢$1
1d agobands1MidBuyVikings53¢$33
1d agobands1MidBuyVikings53¢$11
1d agobands1MidBuyVikings53¢$11
1d agobands1MidBuyVikings53¢$26
1d agobands1MidBuyVikings53¢$11
1d agobands1MidBuyVikings53¢$11
1d agobands1MidBuyVikings53¢$6
1d agobands1MidBuyVikings53¢$6
1d agobands1MidBuyVikings53¢$14
1d agobands1MidBuyVikings53¢$10
1d agobands1MidBuyVikings53¢$1
1d agobands1MidBuyVikings53¢$386
1d agobands1MidBuyVikings53¢$386
1d agobands1MidBuyVikings53¢$3
1d agobands1MidBuyVikings53¢$3
1d agobands1MidBuyVikings53¢$109
1d agobands1MidBuyVikings53¢$109