Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
ActiveLiquidity $151.0K·Volume $2,178·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Pistons100%Wizards0%
Smart money leans
Pistons
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$589
72h +$589
Smart money entered70¢100¢at 00:23(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$151.0K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Pistons", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 70¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$589, +$589 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:23
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375Mid | Buy | Pistons | 69¢ | $207 |
| 1d ago | 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375Mid | Buy | Pistons | 69¢ | $204 |
| 1d ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Wizards | 39¢ | $78 |
| 1d ago | ZetaKappaEpsilonMid | Buy | Wizards | 39¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Wizards | 39¢ | $53 |
| 1d ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Wizards | 39¢ | $25 |