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Spread: Pistons (-10.5)

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $167.2K·Volume $218.2K·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Pistons100%Wizards0%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 00:32computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Pistons
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
11
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$15.5K
72h +$135.0K
Smart money entered48¢100¢at 00:32(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$167.2K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

11 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Pistons", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 48¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$15.5K, +$135.0K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 00:32
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
23h ago0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375MidBuyPistons71¢$4
23h ago0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375MidBuyPistons71¢$4
1d ago0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375MidBuyWizards54¢$117
1d ago0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375MidBuyWizards54¢$117
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyWizards51¢$29
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyWizards51¢$29
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyPistons53¢$30
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyPistons53¢$30
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyWizards51¢$57
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyWizards51¢$57
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyPistons49¢$110
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyPistons49¢$110
1d ago0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465MidBuyPistons49¢$3,739
1d agoianf2026MidBuyWizards51¢$3,891
1d ago0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465MidBuyPistons49¢$3,739
1d agoianf2026MidBuyWizards51¢$3,891
1d agoianf2026MidBuyWizards51¢$102
1d agoianf2026MidBuyWizards51¢$102
1d agoianf2026MidBuyWizards51¢$26
1d agoianf2026MidBuyWizards51¢$102
1d agoianf2026MidBuyWizards51¢$26
1d agoianf2026MidBuyWizards51¢$102
1d agoianf2026MidBuyWizards51¢$26
1d agoianf2026MidBuyWizards51¢$102
1d agoianf2026MidBuyWizards51¢$196
1d agoianf2026MidBuyWizards51¢$196
1d agoianf2026MidBuyWizards51¢$10
1d agoianf2026MidBuyWizards51¢$10
1d agoSunlineTickerMidBuyPistons44¢$15
1d agoSunlineTickerMidBuyPistons44¢$15
1d agoSunlineTickerMidBuyPistons44¢$176
1d agoSunlineTickerMidBuyPistons44¢$176
1d agoSunlineTickerMidBuyPistons44¢$1
1d agoSunlineTickerMidBuyPistons44¢$1
1d agoSiddhartha1TopBuyWizards56¢$110
1d agoSiddhartha1TopBuyWizards56¢$110
1d agoSiddhartha1TopBuyWizards56¢$0
1d agoSiddhartha1TopBuyWizards56¢$0
1d agoSiddhartha1TopBuyWizards56¢$338
1d agoSiddhartha1TopBuyWizards56¢$338
1d agoSiddhartha1TopBuyWizards56¢$1
1d agoSiddhartha1TopBuyWizards56¢$1
1d agoSiddhartha1TopBuyWizards56¢$27
1d agoSiddhartha1TopBuyWizards56¢$52
1d agoSiddhartha1TopBuyWizards56¢$52
1d agoSiddhartha1TopBuyWizards56¢$27
1d ago0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksMidBuyPistons47¢$6
1d ago0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksMidBuyPistons47¢$6
1d agoRLWGMidBuyWizards53¢$3
1d agoRLWGMidBuyWizards53¢$11