Spread: Rockets (-16.5)
ActiveLiquidity $171.9K·Volume $6,866·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Rockets45%Jazz55%
Smart money leans
Jazz
55% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.2pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
55%price55%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,235 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,270
72h +$1,270
Smart money entered53¢55¢at 00:53(35% priced in)Edge left+0.2ppLast smart buy7h agoResolvesended(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$171.9K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Jazz", with $1,235 riding on it.
The price of 55% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 53¢; the price was 55¢ at this snapshot — roughly 35% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,235 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,270, +$1,270 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:53
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7h ago | ay118Mid | Buy | Jazz | 53¢ | $1,235 |