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Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $86.3K·Volume $24.6K·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Over55%Under46%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 19:48computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Under
46% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
46%price46%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$4,564 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$4,558
72h +$4,558
Smart money entered48¢46¢at 19:48(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 3h 11m(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$86.3K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Under", with $4,564 riding on it.

The price of 46% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 48¢; the price was 46¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$4,558, +$4,558 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 19:48
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyUnder45¢$63
2h ago0xheavy888MidBuyUnder45¢$2
2h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyOver54¢$7
2h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyOver54¢$12
2h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyOver54¢$193
2h ago0xheavy888MidBuyUnder46¢$5
2h agowapolMidBuyUnder46¢$118
2h ago0xheavy888MidBuyUnder45¢$1
2h ago0xheavy888MidBuyUnder46¢$2
2h ago0xheavy888MidBuyUnder46¢$2
2h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyOver53¢$51
2h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyOver53¢$3
2h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyOver53¢$3
2h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyOver53¢$5
2h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyOver53¢$12
2h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyOver53¢$15
2h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyOver53¢$4
2h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyOver53¢$7
2h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyUnder47¢$203
2h agohi774cMidBuyUnder47¢$177
2h agowapolMidBuyUnder47¢$42
2h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyOver53¢$1
2h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyUnder48¢$4,500
2h agowapolMidBuyUnder47¢$26
2h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyOver53¢$7
2h agowapolMidBuyUnder47¢$19
2h agohi774cMidBuyUnder47¢$7
2h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyOver53¢$1
2h agohi774cMidBuyUnder47¢$542
2h agowapolMidBuyUnder47¢$33
2h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyOver53¢$2
2h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyOver53¢$1
2h agowapolMidBuyOver51¢$131
2h agowapolMidBuyOver51¢$68
4h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyUnder46¢$7
4h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyUnder46¢$12
4h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyUnder46¢$6
5h ago0xheavy888MidBuyUnder48¢$5
5h ago0xheavy888MidBuyUnder49¢$3
5h agowapolMidBuyUnder49¢$125
5h ago0xheavy888MidBuyUnder49¢$2
5h ago0xheavy888MidBuyUnder49¢$5
6h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyOver49¢$405
7h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyOver48¢$0
7h ago0xheavy888MidBuyUnder52¢$0
7h ago0xheavy888MidBuyUnder52¢$3
7h ago0xheavy888MidBuyUnder52¢$3
7h ago0xheavy888MidBuyUnder52¢$1
7h ago0xheavy888MidBuyUnder52¢$1
7h ago0xheavy888MidBuyUnder52¢$1