Spread: Spurs (-17.5)
ActiveLiquidity $112.1K·Volume $8,877·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Spurs41%Jazz60%
Smart money leans
Spurs
43% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
95%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
43%price43%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,814 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,814
72h +$1,814
Smart money entered43¢43¢at 19:42(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 1h 17m(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$112.1K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Spurs", with $1,814 riding on it.
The price of 43% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 43¢; the price was 43¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,814 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,814, +$1,814 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 19:42
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Jazz | 57¢ | $50 |
| 2h ago | hi774cMid | Buy | Spurs | 43¢ | $1,835 |
| 13h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Spurs | 45¢ | $20 |