Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
ActiveLiquidity $174.2K·Volume $19.8K·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Spurs46%Jazz54%
Smart money leans
Spurs
50% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
50%price50%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$7,094 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$7,094
72h +$7,094
Smart money entered50¢50¢at 19:42(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 1h 17m(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$174.2K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Spurs", with $7,094 riding on it.
The price of 50% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 50¢; the price was 50¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $7,094 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$7,094, +$7,094 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 19:42
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Spurs | 50¢ | $6,667 |
| 2h ago | hi774cMid | Buy | Spurs | 50¢ | $500 |
| 6h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Jazz | 47¢ | $1 |