Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
ActiveLiquidity $516.7K·Volume $744.6K·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Spurs100%Suns0%
Smart money leans
Spurs
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1.5M
72h +$1.5M
Smart money entered48¢100¢at 20:11(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy19h agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$516.7K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Spurs", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 48¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1.5M, +$1.5M over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 20:11
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19h ago | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188Mid | Buy | Spurs | 48¢ | $6,856 |
| 19h ago | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188Mid | Buy | Spurs | 48¢ | $6,856 |
| 19h ago | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188Mid | Buy | Spurs | 48¢ | $348,111 |
| 19h ago | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188Mid | Buy | Spurs | 48¢ | $348,111 |
| 19h ago | bands1Mid | Buy | Suns | 52¢ | $10,327 |
| 19h ago | bands1Mid | Buy | Suns | 52¢ | $5 |
| 19h ago | bands1Mid | Buy | Suns | 52¢ | $25 |
| 19h ago | bands1Mid | Buy | Suns | 52¢ | $5 |
| 20h ago | bands1Mid | Buy | Suns | 52¢ | $4 |
| 20h ago | bands1Mid | Buy | Suns | 52¢ | $33 |