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Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $119.5K·Volume $89.2K·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Over40%Under60%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 01:50computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Under
26% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
97%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
26%price26%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$5,531 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$11.1K
72h +$11.1K
Smart money entered51¢26¢at 01:50(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy3h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$119.5K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Under", with $5,531 riding on it.

The price of 26% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 51¢; the price was 26¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $5,531 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$11.1K, +$11.1K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 01:50
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1h ago0x5051…e34dMidBuyUnder35¢$88
1h ago6512395314597884MidBuyUnder35¢$349
1h ago0x5051…e34dMidBuyUnder35¢$48
1h ago6512395314597884MidBuyUnder35¢$192
1h ago6512395314597884MidBuyUnder37¢$74
1h ago6512395314597884MidBuyUnder37¢$4
1h ago6512395314597884MidBuyUnder35¢$162
1h ago6512395314597884MidBuyUnder35¢$109
1h ago0x5051…e34dMidBuyUnder35¢$27
1h ago0x5051…e34dMidBuyUnder35¢$47
1h ago6512395314597884MidBuyUnder35¢$305
1h ago0x5051…e34dMidBuyUnder35¢$6
1h ago6512395314597884MidBuyUnder35¢$350
1h ago0x5051…e34dMidBuyUnder42¢$22
1h ago6512395314597884MidBuyUnder42¢$86
1h ago0x5051…e34dMidBuyUnder42¢$22
1h ago6512395314597884MidBuyOver58¢$30
1h ago6512395314597884MidBuyUnder42¢$86
1h ago0x5051…e34dMidBuyUnder41¢$52
1h ago6512395314597884MidBuyUnder41¢$210
1h ago0x5051…e34dMidBuyUnder41¢$52
1h ago6512395314597884MidBuyUnder41¢$210
1h ago6512395314597884MidBuyUnder41¢$410
1h ago6512395314597884MidBuyUnder41¢$410
1h ago6512395314597884MidBuyUnder42¢$8
1h ago6512395314597884MidBuyUnder42¢$8
1h ago6512395314597884MidBuyOver55¢$61
1h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyUnder49¢$29
1h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyOver46¢$63
2h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyUnder54¢$1
2h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyUnder54¢$7,051
2h agohi774cMidBuyUnder54¢$5,000
2h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyUnder53¢$408
2h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyUnder53¢$408
3h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyUnder52¢$468
3h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyUnder52¢$468
3h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyUnder52¢$712
3h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyUnder52¢$712
5h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyOver50¢$50
6h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyUnder48¢$34
8h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyUnder48¢$14