Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5
ActiveLiquidity $190.0K·Volume $124.2K·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Over46%Under55%
Smart money leans
Under
25% at snapshot
Divergence
+4.6pp
model above price
Consensus
98%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
25%price30%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$29.0K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$56.7K
72h +$56.7K
Smart money entered49¢25¢at 01:50(0% priced in)Edge left+4.6ppLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$190.0K
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Under", with $29.0K riding on it.
Based on how much of their bankrolls these wallets committed, the model puts "Under" at about 30% (an unvalidated estimate, not a proven probability), while the market priced it at 25% at the same moment — the market may not have caught up yet.
On average they got in at 49¢; the price was 25¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$56.7K, +$56.7K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 01:50
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Over | 52¢ | $156 |
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Over | 52¢ | $47 |
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Over | 51¢ | $816 |
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Over | 51¢ | $24 |
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Over | 51¢ | $266 |
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Over | 51¢ | $21 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Under | 50¢ | $4,538 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Under | 49¢ | $6,425 |
| 2h ago | hi774cMid | Buy | Under | 50¢ | $3,037 |
| 2h ago | wapolMid | Buy | Under | 49¢ | $125 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Under | 50¢ | $23 |
| 2h ago | 0x842c…1871Mid | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $24 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $6,345 |
| 2h ago | hi774cMid | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $1,508 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $6,214 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0x842c…1871Mid | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $24 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $90 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $6,494 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | 0x842c…1871Mid | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $24 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $14 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $6,666 |
| 2h ago | hi774cMid | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $5,100 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $6,374 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Over | 48¢ | $39 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Over | 48¢ | $2,071 |