Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
ActiveLiquidity $161.4K·Volume $28.9K·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Spurs15%Bulls85%
Smart money leans
Spurs
28% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
56%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
28%price28%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,766 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$5,523
72h +$5,523
Smart money entered58¢28¢at 01:50(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$161.4K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is narrowly leaning toward betting on "Spurs", with $2,766 riding on it.
The price of 28% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 58¢; the price was 28¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,766 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$5,523, +$5,523 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 01:50
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 6512395314597884Mid | Buy | Spurs | 31¢ | $189 |
| 1h ago | 6512395314597884Mid | Buy | Spurs | 31¢ | $17 |
| 1h ago | 6512395314597884Mid | Buy | Spurs | 31¢ | $68 |
| 1h ago | 6512395314597884Mid | Buy | Spurs | 31¢ | $17 |
| 1h ago | 6512395314597884Mid | Buy | Spurs | 31¢ | $189 |
| 1h ago | 6512395314597884Mid | Buy | Spurs | 31¢ | $68 |
| 1h ago | 6512395314597884Mid | Buy | Spurs | 31¢ | $30 |
| 1h ago | 6512395314597884Mid | Buy | Spurs | 30¢ | $3 |
| 1h ago | 6512395314597884Mid | Buy | Spurs | 30¢ | $3 |
| 1h ago | 6512395314597884Mid | Buy | Spurs | 30¢ | $3 |
| 1h ago | 6512395314597884Mid | Buy | Spurs | 53¢ | $59 |
| 1h ago | 6512395314597884Mid | Buy | Spurs | 53¢ | $59 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Bulls | 41¢ | $845 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Bulls | 42¢ | $1,717 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Bulls | 42¢ | $2,056 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Bulls | 42¢ | $293 |
| 3h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Spurs | 57¢ | $92 |
| 3h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Spurs | 57¢ | $92 |
| 3h ago | sentrioMid | Buy | Bulls | 43¢ | $1 |
| 7h ago | sentrioMid | Buy | Bulls | 43¢ | $1 |
| 13h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Bulls | 44¢ | $227 |
| 13h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Bulls | 44¢ | $227 |
| 18h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Bulls | 42¢ | $64 |