Keegan Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5
ActiveLiquidity $1,314·Volume $4,941·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Yes52%No48%
Smart money leans
No
49% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
49%price49%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$194 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$388
72h +$388
Smart money entered50¢49¢at 01:52(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 7m(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$1,314
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $194 riding on it.
The price of 49% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 50¢; the price was 49¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $194 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$388, +$388 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 01:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0x6dd9…bfe8Mid | Buy | No | 50¢ | $144 |
| 2h ago | 0x6dd9…bfe8Mid | Buy | No | 50¢ | $144 |
| 2h ago | 0x6dd9…bfe8Mid | Buy | No | 50¢ | $56 |
| 2h ago | 0x6dd9…bfe8Mid | Buy | No | 50¢ | $56 |