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Magic vs. Jazz

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $117.0K·Volume $41.7K·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Magic59%Jazz42%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 15:46computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Magic
61% at snapshot
Divergence
+1.1pp
model above price
Consensus
96%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
61%price62%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$16.6K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$23.1K
72h +$23.1K
Smart money entered62¢61¢at 15:46(0% priced in)Edge left+1.1ppLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 9h 13m(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$117.0K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Magic", with $16.6K riding on it.

The price of 61% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 62¢; the price was 61¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $16.6K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$23.1K, +$23.1K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 15:46
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyMagic60¢$22
2h agoOddstormMidBuyJazz39¢$27
2h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyMagic60¢$38
2h agoOddstormMidBuyJazz39¢$12
2h agoSnakeBallMidBuyJazz39¢$172
3h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyMagic61¢$1
3h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyMagic61¢$60
3h agoRLWGMidBuyMagic62¢$3
3h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyMagic62¢$6
3h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyMagic62¢$365
3h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyMagic62¢$119
3h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyMagic62¢$31
3h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyMagic62¢$159
3h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyMagic62¢$521
3h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyMagic62¢$10
3h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyMagic62¢$159
3h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyMagic62¢$521
3h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyMagic62¢$10
3h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyMagic62¢$5,598
3h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyMagic62¢$5,598
3h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyMagic62¢$3
3h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyMagic62¢$4
3h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyMagic62¢$12
3h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyMagic62¢$9
3h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyMagic62¢$3
3h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyMagic62¢$118
3h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyMagic62¢$7
3h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyMagic62¢$16
3h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyMagic62¢$9,131
3h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyMagic62¢$49
4h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyMagic62¢$15
4h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyMagic62¢$124
4h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyMagic62¢$16
4h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyMagic62¢$155
5h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyMagic62¢$111
5h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyMagic62¢$111
5h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyMagic62¢$231
5h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyMagic62¢$231
7h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyMagic62¢$16
8h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyMagic62¢$39
1d agoOddstormMidBuyJazz38¢$3
1d agoOddstormMidBuyJazz38¢$3