Spread: Magic (-4.5)
ActiveLiquidity $398.2K·Volume $19.1K·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Magic95%Kings6%
Smart money leans
Kings
41% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
95%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
41%price41%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$11.3K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$11.8K
72h +$11.8K
Smart money entered50¢41¢at 04:15(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$398.2K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Kings", with $11.3K riding on it.
The price of 41% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 50¢; the price was 41¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $11.3K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$11.8K, +$11.8K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:15
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | keeptheblueflagflyinghighMid | Buy | Kings | 50¢ | $3 |
| 1h ago | keeptheblueflagflyinghighMid | Buy | Kings | 50¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | keeptheblueflagflyinghighMid | Buy | Kings | 50¢ | $61 |
| 1h ago | keeptheblueflagflyinghighMid | Buy | Kings | 50¢ | $13,165 |
| 2h ago | BreakTheBankTop | Buy | Kings | 47¢ | $79 |
| 2h ago | BreakTheBankTop | Buy | Kings | 47¢ | $79 |
| 2h ago | BreakTheBankTop | Buy | Kings | 47¢ | $8 |
| 2h ago | BreakTheBankTop | Buy | Kings | 47¢ | $8 |
| 2h ago | BreakTheBankTop | Buy | Kings | 47¢ | $83 |
| 2h ago | BreakTheBankTop | Buy | Kings | 47¢ | $83 |
| 2h ago | BreakTheBankTop | Buy | Kings | 47¢ | $83 |
| 2h ago | BreakTheBankTop | Buy | Kings | 47¢ | $83 |
| 2h ago | BreakTheBankTop | Buy | Kings | 47¢ | $83 |
| 2h ago | BreakTheBankTop | Buy | Kings | 47¢ | $83 |
| 2h ago | BreakTheBankTop | Buy | Kings | 47¢ | $74 |
| 2h ago | BreakTheBankTop | Buy | Kings | 47¢ | $74 |
| 2h ago | BreakTheBankTop | Buy | Kings | 47¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | BreakTheBankTop | Buy | Kings | 47¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | BreakTheBankTop | Buy | Kings | 47¢ | $146 |
| 2h ago | BreakTheBankTop | Buy | Kings | 47¢ | $146 |
| 3h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Magic | 53¢ | $106 |
| 3h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Magic | 53¢ | $106 |
| 6h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Magic | 55¢ | $44 |
| 6h ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Kings | 44¢ | $31 |
| 6h ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Kings | 44¢ | $9 |
| 8h ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Magic | 57¢ | $40 |