Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
ActiveLiquidity $164.6K·Volume $22.5K·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Trail Blazers56%Thunder45%
Smart money leans
Trail Blazers
55% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
92%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
55%price55%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$659 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$678
72h +$678
Smart money entered53¢55¢at 00:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4h agoResolvesin 1h 7m(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$164.6K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Trail Blazers", with $659 riding on it.
The price of 55% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 53¢; the price was 55¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $659 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$678, +$678 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Thunder | 45¢ | $2 |
| 4h ago | LuckyLooMid | Buy | Thunder | 45¢ | $5 |
| 4h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Thunder | 47¢ | $2 |
| 4h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Thunder | 47¢ | $2 |
| 4h ago | keeptheblueflagflyinghighMid | Buy | Trail Blazers | 53¢ | $659 |
| 4h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Thunder | 48¢ | $2 |
| 4h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Thunder | 48¢ | $2 |
| 4h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Thunder | 49¢ | $2 |
| 4h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Thunder | 50¢ | $3 |
| 4h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Thunder | 51¢ | $3 |
| 4h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Thunder | 52¢ | $3 |
| 4h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Thunder | 54¢ | $3 |
| 4h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Thunder | 53¢ | $3 |
| 4h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Trail Blazers | 46¢ | $1 |
| 4h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Trail Blazers | 46¢ | $1 |
| 4h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Thunder | 53¢ | $3 |