Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
ActiveLiquidity $49.7K·Volume $14.2K·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Thunder38%Trail Blazers63%
Smart money leans
Trail Blazers
62% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
83%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
62%price62%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$713 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$779
72h +$779
Smart money entered57¢62¢at 00:54(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4h agoResolvesin 1h 5m(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$49.7K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is strongly betting on "Trail Blazers", with $713 riding on it.
The price of 62% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 57¢; the price was 62¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $713 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$779, +$779 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:54
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Thunder | 39¢ | $1 |
| 4h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Thunder | 41¢ | $2 |
| 4h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Thunder | 42¢ | $2 |
| 4h ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Trail Blazers | 57¢ | $171 |
| 4h ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Trail Blazers | 57¢ | $542 |
| 4h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Thunder | 44¢ | $2 |
| 4h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Trail Blazers | 55¢ | $1 |
| 4h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Thunder | 44¢ | $2 |
| 4h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Trail Blazers | 55¢ | $2 |
| 4h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Thunder | 44¢ | $2 |
| 4h ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Thunder | 44¢ | $40 |
| 10h ago | RLWGMid | Buy | Thunder | 45¢ | $1 |
| 10h ago | RLWGMid | Buy | Thunder | 45¢ | $1 |
| 19h ago | LuckyLooMid | Buy | Thunder | 38¢ | $23 |