1H Spread: Thunder (-0.5)
ActiveLiquidity $37.0K·Volume $300·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Thunder45%Trail Blazers55%
Smart money leans
Thunder
45% at snapshot
Divergence
+1.1pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
45%price46%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$300 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$300
Smart money entered45¢45¢at 05:34(0% priced in)Edge left+1.1ppLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$37.0K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Thunder", with $300 riding on it.
The price of 45% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 45¢; the price was 45¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $300 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$300 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:34
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0x40f6…3d9cMid | Buy | Thunder | 45¢ | $308 |