Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5
ActiveLiquidity $186.1K·Volume $43.0K·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Over50%Under51%
Smart money leans
Under
51% at snapshot
Divergence
+1.9pp
model above price
Consensus
89%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
51%price52%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$11.8K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$22.0K
72h +$22.0K
Smart money entered52¢51¢at 02:40(0% priced in)Edge left+1.9ppLast smart buy5h agoResolvesin 20m(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$186.1K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Under", with $11.8K riding on it.
The price of 51% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 52¢; the price was 51¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $11.8K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$22.0K, +$22.0K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:40
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h ago | keeptheblueflagflyinghighMid | Buy | Over | 49¢ | $1,017 |
| 5h ago | Fund01Mid | Buy | Under | 52¢ | $4 |
| 5h ago | Fund01Mid | Buy | Under | 52¢ | $12 |
| 5h ago | Fund01Mid | Buy | Under | 52¢ | $3 |
| 5h ago | Fund01Mid | Buy | Under | 52¢ | $52 |
| 5h ago | Fund01Mid | Buy | Under | 52¢ | $6 |
| 5h ago | Fund01Mid | Buy | Under | 52¢ | $10,524 |
| 5h ago | Fund01Mid | Buy | Under | 52¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Over | 48¢ | $96 |
| 5h ago | Fund01Mid | Buy | Under | 52¢ | $10,524 |
| 5h ago | geraldo777Mid | Buy | Under | 52¢ | $1,560 |
| 10h ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Over | 44¢ | $150 |
| 13h ago | RLWGMid | Buy | Over | 47¢ | $2 |
| 13h ago | RLWGMid | Buy | Over | 47¢ | $0 |
| 13h ago | RLWGMid | Buy | Over | 47¢ | $2 |
| 13h ago | RLWGMid | Buy | Over | 47¢ | $2 |
| 13h ago | RLWGMid | Buy | Over | 47¢ | $19 |
| 13h ago | RLWGMid | Buy | Over | 47¢ | $2 |
| 13h ago | 0xheavy888Mid | Buy | Over | 48¢ | $10 |
| 13h ago | 0xheavy888Mid | Buy | Over | 48¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | 0xheavy888Mid | Buy | Under | 48¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0xheavy888Mid | Buy | Under | 48¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0xheavy888Mid | Buy | Under | 48¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0xheavy888Mid | Buy | Under | 48¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0xheavy888Mid | Buy | Under | 48¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0xheavy888Mid | Buy | Under | 48¢ | $1 |