Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5
ActiveLiquidity $102.3K·Volume $35.2K·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Over55%Under46%
Smart money leans
Under
47% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
47%price47%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$8,076 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$15.6K
72h +$15.6K
Smart money entered51¢47¢at 02:39(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy9h agoResolvesin 21m(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$102.3K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Under", with $8,076 riding on it.
The price of 47% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 51¢; the price was 47¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $8,076 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$15.6K, +$15.6K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:39
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7h ago | 0xheavy888Mid | Buy | Under | 47¢ | $2 |
| 7h ago | 0xheavy888Mid | Buy | Under | 47¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | 0xheavy888Mid | Buy | Under | 49¢ | $10 |
| 9h ago | keeptheblueflagflyinghighMid | Buy | Under | 52¢ | $1,341 |
| 9h ago | keeptheblueflagflyinghighMid | Buy | Under | 52¢ | $1,341 |
| 10h ago | keeptheblueflagflyinghighMid | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $557 |
| 10h ago | keeptheblueflagflyinghighMid | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $4 |
| 10h ago | keeptheblueflagflyinghighMid | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $6,981 |
| 10h ago | keeptheblueflagflyinghighMid | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $6,981 |
| 13h ago | 0xheavy888Mid | Buy | Over | 51¢ | $2 |
| 13h ago | 0xheavy888Mid | Buy | Over | 51¢ | $2 |
| 13h ago | 0xheavy888Mid | Buy | Over | 52¢ | $10 |
| 13h ago | 0xheavy888Mid | Buy | Over | 52¢ | $10 |