Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
ActiveLiquidity $373.2K·Volume $26.7K·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Thunder44%Clippers56%
Smart money leans
Clippers
53% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.2pp
model above price
Consensus
98%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
53%price53%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$225 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,342
72h +$1,342
Smart money entered51¢53¢at 01:51(36% priced in)Edge left+0.2ppLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 38m(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$373.2K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Clippers", with $225 riding on it.
The price of 53% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 51¢; the price was 53¢ at this snapshot — roughly 36% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $225 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,342, +$1,342 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 01:51
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | ay118Mid | Buy | Clippers | 52¢ | $1,029 |
| 2h ago | ay118Mid | Buy | Clippers | 52¢ | $8 |
| 2h ago | ay118Mid | Buy | Clippers | 52¢ | $73 |
| 2h ago | ay118Mid | Buy | Clippers | 52¢ | $73 |
| 2h ago | 0xa427…7c1dMid | Buy | Thunder | 49¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0xa427…7c1dMid | Buy | Thunder | 49¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | ay118Mid | Buy | Clippers | 51¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0xa427…7c1dMid | Buy | Thunder | 49¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | ay118Mid | Buy | Clippers | 51¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | 0xa427…7c1dMid | Buy | Thunder | 49¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | 0xa427…7c1dMid | Buy | Thunder | 49¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | ay118Mid | Buy | Clippers | 51¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | 0xa427…7c1dMid | Buy | Thunder | 49¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | 0xa427…7c1dMid | Buy | Thunder | 49¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | ay118Mid | Buy | Clippers | 51¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | 0xa427…7c1dMid | Buy | Thunder | 49¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | 0xa427…7c1dMid | Buy | Thunder | 49¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | ay118Mid | Buy | Clippers | 51¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | 0xa427…7c1dMid | Buy | Thunder | 49¢ | $4 |
| 6h ago | ay118Mid | Buy | Clippers | 51¢ | $105 |
| 6h ago | ay118Mid | Buy | Clippers | 51¢ | $3 |
| 6h ago | ay118Mid | Buy | Clippers | 51¢ | $2 |
| 8h ago | ay118Mid | Buy | Clippers | 51¢ | $1 |
| 9h ago | ay118Mid | Buy | Clippers | 51¢ | $10 |
| 10h ago | ay118Mid | Buy | Clippers | 51¢ | $2 |