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Spread: Warriors (-9.5)

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $158.2K·Volume $310.7K·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Warriors100%Pelicans0%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 03:19computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Warriors
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$33.1K
Smart money entered53¢100¢at 03:19(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$158.2K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Warriors", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 53¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$33.1K on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 03:19
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
23h agoch27erMidSellWarriors100¢$2,362
23h agoch27erMidSellWarriors100¢$2,362
1d agoch27erMidBuyWarriors63¢$1,500
1d agoch27erMidBuyWarriors63¢$1,500
1d agoCAcapMidBuyWarriors55¢$110
1d agoSiddhartha1TopBuyWarriors55¢$6,667
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuyWarriors55¢$6
1d agoCAcapMidBuyWarriors55¢$110
1d agoSiddhartha1TopBuyWarriors55¢$6,667
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuyWarriors55¢$6
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuyWarriors55¢$6
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuyWarriors55¢$6
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyPelicans43¢$5
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyPelicans43¢$5
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyPelicans43¢$2
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyPelicans43¢$2
1d agoCAcapMidBuyWarriors56¢$112
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuyWarriors56¢$11
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyPelicans43¢$26
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyPelicans43¢$26
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuyPelicans47¢$9
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuyPelicans47¢$9
1d agopm13333MidBuyPelicans48¢$129
1d agopm13333MidBuyPelicans48¢$105
1d ago0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksMidBuyPelicans48¢$63
1d ago0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksMidBuyPelicans48¢$25
1d agopm13333MidBuyPelicans48¢$129
1d ago0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksMidBuyPelicans48¢$63
1d ago0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksMidBuyPelicans48¢$25
1d agopm13333MidBuyPelicans48¢$105
1d agopm13333MidBuyPelicans48¢$754
1d agopm13333MidBuyPelicans48¢$754
1d agopm13333MidBuyPelicans48¢$11
1d agopm13333MidBuyPelicans48¢$11
1d agotoottootMidBuyPelicans48¢$7
1d agotoottootMidBuyPelicans48¢$7
1d agotoottootMidBuyPelicans49¢$493
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyPelicans49¢$40
1d agoSunlineTickerMidBuyPelicans47¢$94
1d agoCAcapMidBuyPelicans48¢$192
1d agoCAcapMidBuyPelicans49¢$98
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuyPelicans48¢$5
1d agoCAcapMidBuyPelicans49¢$98
1d agoCAcapMidBuyPelicans48¢$192
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuyPelicans48¢$5
1d agoSunlineTickerMidBuyPelicans47¢$94
1d agoianf2026MidBuyWarriors48¢$1
1d agoianf2026MidBuyWarriors48¢$1
1d agoianf2026MidBuyWarriors48¢$106
1d agoianf2026MidBuyWarriors48¢$106