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Spread: Warriors (-11.5)

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $791.6K·Volume $226.8K·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Warriors100%Pelicans0%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 04:53computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Warriors
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
60%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$2,290
72h +$420.9K
Smart money entered49¢100¢at 04:53(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$791.6K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Warriors", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 49¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$2,290, +$420.9K over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.

Delayed 1h · as of 04:53
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1d agoMalfunction-MidBuyWarriors100¢$379
1d agoMalfunction-MidBuyWarriors100¢$4
1d agoMalfunction-MidBuyWarriors100¢$2
1d agoch27erMidSellWarriors100¢$2,676
1d agoch27erMidSellWarriors100¢$2,676
1d agoMalfunction-MidBuyWarriors100¢$2,676
1d agoAddarashMidBuyWarriors70¢$1,028
1d agoAddarashMidBuyWarriors70¢$1,013
1d agoAddarashMidBuyWarriors55¢$21
1d agoAddarashMidBuyWarriors55¢$21
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyPelicans44¢$4
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyPelicans44¢$132
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyPelicans44¢$4
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyPelicans44¢$132
1d agoAddarashMidBuyWarriors55¢$1
1d agoAddarashMidBuyWarriors55¢$1
1d agoch27erMidBuyWarriors56¢$1,500
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyPelicans44¢$49
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyPelicans44¢$521
1d agoch27erMidBuyWarriors56¢$1,500
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyPelicans44¢$49
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyPelicans44¢$521
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyWarriors51¢$57
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyWarriors52¢$58
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyWarriors53¢$59
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyWarriors53¢$119
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyWarriors51¢$57
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyWarriors52¢$58
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyWarriors53¢$119
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyWarriors53¢$59
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyWarriors50¢$56
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyPelicans52¢$58
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyPelicans53¢$119
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyPelicans52¢$107
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyWarriors48¢$19
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyWarriors48¢$19
1d agoBreakTheBankTopBuyWarriors48¢$88
1d agoBreakTheBankTopBuyWarriors48¢$88
1d agoBreakTheBankTopBuyWarriors48¢$3
1d agoBreakTheBankTopBuyWarriors48¢$3
1d agoBreakTheBankTopBuyWarriors48¢$5
1d agoBreakTheBankTopBuyWarriors48¢$5
1d agoBreakTheBankTopBuyWarriors48¢$28
1d agoBreakTheBankTopBuyWarriors48¢$5,197
1d agoBreakTheBankTopBuyWarriors48¢$5,197
1d agoCAcapMidBuyWarriors48¢$13
1d agoCAcapMidBuyWarriors48¢$13
1d agoSiddhartha1TopBuyWarriors48¢$6,262
1d agoSiddhartha1TopBuyWarriors48¢$6,262
1d agoSiddhartha1TopBuyWarriors48¢$21