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Spread: Warriors (-10.5)

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $784.4K·Volume $118.9K·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Warriors100%Pelicans0%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 04:52computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Warriors
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$4,413
72h +$54.7K
Smart money entered51¢100¢at 04:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$784.4K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Warriors", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 51¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$4,413, +$54.7K over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.

Delayed 1h · as of 04:52
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1d agoMalfunction-MidBuyWarriors100¢$496
1d agoch27erMidSellWarriors100¢$2,454
1d agoch27erMidSellWarriors100¢$2,454
1d agoch27erMidBuyWarriors61¢$1,500
1d agoalpheclabs2MidBuyPelicans37¢$102
1d agoch27erMidBuyWarriors61¢$1,500
1d agoalpheclabs2MidBuyPelicans37¢$102
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyPelicans45¢$22
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyPelicans45¢$22
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyPelicans45¢$29
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyPelicans49¢$55
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyPelicans49¢$55
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyPelicans46¢$64
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyPelicans46¢$64
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyPelicans49¢$55
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyPelicans49¢$110
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyPelicans49¢$55
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyPelicans49¢$110
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyPelicans47¢$30
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyPelicans47¢$30
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyPelicans47¢$40
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyPelicans47¢$40
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuyWarriors52¢$4
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuyWarriors52¢$4
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuyWarriors52¢$1
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuyWarriors52¢$1
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuyWarriors52¢$2
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuyWarriors52¢$3
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuyWarriors52¢$2
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuyWarriors52¢$3
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyPelicans46¢$19
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyPelicans46¢$19
1d ago0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465MidBuyWarriors51¢$13,576
1d ago0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465MidBuyWarriors51¢$13,576
1d agoOddstormMidBuyWarriors51¢$252
1d agoOddstormMidBuyWarriors51¢$252
1d ago0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksMidBuyPelicans50¢$11
1d ago0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksMidBuyPelicans50¢$11
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyPelicans52¢$40
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuyPelicans52¢$5
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuyPelicans51¢$5
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuyPelicans53¢$5
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuyPelicans54¢$11
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuyPelicans53¢$5
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuyPelicans54¢$11