Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 224.5
ActiveLiquidity $70.0K·Volume $25.0K·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Over49%Under52%
Smart money leans
Under
51% at snapshot
Divergence
+1.3pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
51%price52%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$238 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$476
72h +$476
Smart money entered53¢51¢at 15:46(0% priced in)Edge left+1.3ppLast smart buy6h agoResolvesin 7h 14m(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$70.0K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Under", with $238 riding on it.
The price of 51% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 53¢; the price was 51¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $238 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$476, +$476 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 15:46
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6h ago | randomguyfromMid | Buy | Under | 53¢ | $250 |
| 6h ago | randomguyfromMid | Buy | Under | 53¢ | $250 |