Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5
ActiveLiquidity $115.9K·Volume $148.2K·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Over49%Under52%
Smart money leans
Under
52% at snapshot
Divergence
+2.8pp
model above price
Consensus
99%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
52%price54%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$72.9K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$132.7K
72h +$132.7K
Smart money entered51¢52¢at 22:12(2% priced in)Edge left+2.8ppLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 1h 17m(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$115.9K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Under", with $72.9K riding on it.
The price of 52% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 51¢; the price was 52¢ at this snapshot — roughly 2% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $72.9K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$132.7K, +$132.7K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 22:12
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $8 |
| 1h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $8 |
| 1h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $16 |
| 1h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $16 |
| 2h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $21 |
| 2h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $21 |
| 3h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $21 |
| 3h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $21 |
| 3h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $10 |
| 4h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $50 |
| 4h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $50 |
| 4h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $45,421 |
| 4h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $18 |
| 4h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $8 |
| 4h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $1,098 |
| 4h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $353 |
| 4h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $204 |
| 4h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $824 |
| 4h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $23 |
| 4h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $1,098 |
| 4h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $23 |
| 4h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $45,421 |
| 4h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $18 |
| 4h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $8 |
| 4h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $353 |
| 4h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $204 |
| 4h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $824 |
| 4h ago | ppku6298Mid | Buy | Under | 52¢ | $1 |
| 4h ago | ppku6298Mid | Buy | Under | 52¢ | $462 |
| 4h ago | ppku6298Mid | Buy | Over | 48¢ | $1 |
| 4h ago | ppku6298Mid | Buy | Over | 48¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | ppku6298Mid | Buy | Over | 48¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | ppku6298Mid | Buy | Over | 48¢ | $1,421 |
| 5h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $5 |
| 6h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $4,920 |
| 6h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $4,920 |
| 6h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $3 |
| 6h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $3 |
| 6h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $16 |
| 6h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $16 |
| 6h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $4 |
| 6h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $4 |
| 6h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $14,374 |
| 6h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $785 |
| 6h ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Under | 51¢ | $785 |