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Spread: Knicks (-15.5)

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $348.9K·Volume $408.3K·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Knicks100%Bucks0%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 02:29computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Knicks
63% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
67%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
63%price63%model est.*
Smart wallets
14
$64.2K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$133.6K
72h +$133.6K
Smart money entered50¢63¢at 02:29(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$348.9K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

14 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Knicks", with $64.2K riding on it.

The price of 63% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 50¢; the price was 63¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$133.6K, +$133.6K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 02:29
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyKnicks54¢$0
1h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyKnicks54¢$6
1h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyBucks54¢$3,672
1h ago0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375MidBuyKnicks62¢$16
1h ago0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375MidBuyKnicks62¢$62
1h ago0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375MidBuyKnicks62¢$78
1h ago0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375MidBuyKnicks62¢$93
1h ago0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375MidBuyKnicks62¢$217
1h ago0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375MidBuyKnicks62¢$62
1h ago0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375MidBuyKnicks62¢$248
1h ago0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375MidBuyKnicks74¢$148
1h ago0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375MidBuyKnicks74¢$148
2h ago0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375MidBuyBucks34¢$234
2h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyBucks52¢$64
2h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyBucks52¢$3,151
2h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyKnicks45¢$50
2h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyKnicks45¢$389
2h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyBucks54¢$48
2h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyBucks54¢$48
2h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyKnicks44¢$49
2h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyBucks53¢$59
2h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyKnicks43¢$48
2h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyBucks52¢$58
2h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyBucks53¢$118
2h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyKnicks45¢$45
2h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyKnicks48¢$21
2h agoS-WorksMidBuyKnicks47¢$9,755
2h agoS-WorksMidBuyKnicks47¢$9
2h agoS-WorksMidBuyKnicks47¢$940
3h agoS-WorksMidBuyKnicks47¢$1,880
3h agoSunlineTickerMidBuyKnicks48¢$1,110
3h agoSunlineTickerMidBuyKnicks48¢$1,110
3h agoSunlineTickerMidBuyKnicks48¢$1,827
3h agoSunlineTickerMidBuyKnicks48¢$2,311
3h agoSunlineTickerMidBuyKnicks48¢$1,827
3h ago0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksMidBuyBucks52¢$15
3h agoSunlineTickerMidBuyKnicks48¢$2,311
3h ago0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksMidBuyBucks52¢$104
3h agoS-WorksMidBuyKnicks47¢$17
3h agoSunlineTickerMidBuyKnicks48¢$644
3h agoS-WorksMidBuyKnicks47¢$768
3h agoS-WorksMidBuyKnicks47¢$1,229
3h agoSunlineTickerMidBuyKnicks48¢$524
3h agoS-WorksMidBuyKnicks47¢$793
3h agoSunlineTickerMidBuyKnicks48¢$539
3h agoS-WorksMidBuyKnicks47¢$2,578
3h agohang808TopBuyKnicks49¢$113
3h agohang808TopBuyKnicks49¢$3,586
3h agohang808TopBuyKnicks49¢$113
3h agohang808TopBuyKnicks49¢$3,586