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Spread: Knicks (-14.5)

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $189.4K·Volume $31.2K·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Knicks100%Bucks0%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 02:32computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Bucks
8% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
76%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
8%price8%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$6,098 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$12.1K
72h +$12.1K
Smart money entered46¢8.0¢at 02:32(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy3h agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$189.4K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "Bucks", with $6,098 riding on it.

The price of 8% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 46¢; the price was 8.0¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$12.1K, +$12.1K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 02:32
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1h ago0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375MidBuyKnicks63¢$20
2h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyKnicks49¢$82
2h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyBucks49¢$109
3h ago0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465MidBuyBucks46¢$34,345
3h ago0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465MidBuyBucks46¢$34,345
3h agoSunlineTickerMidBuyBucks46¢$455
4h agovibing123TopBuyKnicks55¢$275
4h agovibing123TopBuyKnicks55¢$275
4h agoCAcapMidBuyBucks47¢$94
4h agoCAcapMidBuyBucks47¢$93
4h agoSnakeBallMidBuyBucks47¢$40
4h agoCAcapMidBuyBucks47¢$1
10h agoSnakeBallMidBuyBucks46¢$40
12h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyKnicks54¢$396
14h ago0xheavy888MidBuyKnicks54¢$11
14h ago0xheavy888MidBuyKnicks54¢$11