Davion Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 2.5
ActiveLiquidity $635·Volume $1,877·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Yes50%No50%
Smart money leans
No
50% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
50%price50%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$500 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$500
Smart money entered55¢50¢at 05:31(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$635
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $500 riding on it.
The price of 50% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 55¢; the price was 50¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $500 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$500 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:31
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x6dd9…bfe8Mid | Buy | No | 54¢ | $229 |
| 2d ago | 0x6dd9…bfe8Mid | Buy | No | 54¢ | $18 |
| 2d ago | 0x6dd9…bfe8Mid | Buy | No | 54¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | 0x6dd9…bfe8Mid | Buy | No | 54¢ | $61 |
| 2d ago | 0x6dd9…bfe8Mid | Buy | No | 56¢ | $62 |
| 2d ago | 0x6dd9…bfe8Mid | Buy | No | 56¢ | $57 |
| 2d ago | 0x6dd9…bfe8Mid | Buy | No | 56¢ | $18 |
| 2d ago | 0x6dd9…bfe8Mid | Buy | No | 56¢ | $62 |
| 2d ago | 0x6dd9…bfe8Mid | Buy | No | 56¢ | $26 |