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Heat vs. Kings: O/U 238.5

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $111.9K·Volume $46.3K·Ends Nov 9, 2026
Price now:Over0%Under100%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of Nov 10, 23:48computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Under
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$27.0K
Smart money entered54¢100¢at Nov 10, 23:48(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 9, 2026)Liquidity$111.9K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Under", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 54¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$27.0K on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of Nov 10, 23:48
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyOver51¢$63
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyOver51¢$17,061
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyOver52¢$64
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyOver52¢$76
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyOver52¢$76
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyOver52¢$64
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyUnder43¢$1
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyUnder43¢$1
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyUnder51¢$3
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyUnder51¢$3
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyUnder51¢$3
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyUnder51¢$3
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyOver48¢$5
1d agomarvelousmarvinMidBuyUnder54¢$7,442
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyOver48¢$27
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyOver48¢$54
1d ago0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375MidBuyOver47¢$1,175
1d agomarvelousmarvinMidBuyUnder54¢$7,274
1d ago0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375MidBuyOver47¢$1,175
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyOver48¢$27
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyOver48¢$54
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyUnder49¢$27
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyUnder49¢$55
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyUnder49¢$27
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyUnder49¢$55
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyUnder51¢$23
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyUnder51¢$23
1d agoSunlineTickerMidBuyOver43¢$875
1d agoSunlineTickerMidBuyOver43¢$875
1d agoLuckyLooMidBuyOver41¢$52
2d agoCAcapMidBuyOver46¢$61
2d agoRLWGMidBuyOver49¢$2
2d agoRLWGMidBuyOver49¢$7
2d agoSnakeBallMidBuyUnder50¢$203