Heat vs. Kings: O/U 223.5
ActiveLiquidity $19.5K·Volume $5·Ends Nov 9, 2026
Price now:Over31%Under69%
Smart money leans
Under
69% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.3pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
69%price69%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$271
Smart money entered65¢69¢at 00:13(42% priced in)Edge left+0.3ppLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 9, 2026)Liquidity$19.5K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Under", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 69% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 65¢; the price was 69¢ at this snapshot — roughly 42% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$271 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:13
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375Mid | Buy | Under | 69¢ | $16 |
| 1d ago | 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375Mid | Buy | Under | 65¢ | $18 |
| 1d ago | 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375Mid | Buy | Under | 65¢ | $25 |
| 1d ago | 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375Mid | Buy | Under | 65¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375Mid | Buy | Under | 65¢ | $25 |
| 1d ago | 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375Mid | Buy | Under | 65¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375Mid | Buy | Under | 65¢ | $13 |
| 1d ago | 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375Mid | Buy | Under | 65¢ | $68 |
| 1d ago | 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375Mid | Buy | Under | 65¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375Mid | Buy | Under | 65¢ | $68 |
| 1d ago | 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375Mid | Buy | Under | 65¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375Mid | Buy | Under | 65¢ | $13 |