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Spread: Heat (-10.5)

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $210.9K·Volume $181.2K·Ends Nov 9, 2026
Price now:Heat0%Kings100%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 00:22computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Kings
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
60%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$21.3K
Smart money entered50¢100¢at 00:22(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 9, 2026)Liquidity$210.9K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Kings", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 50¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$21.3K on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 00:22
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1d ago0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375MidBuyKings88¢$18
1d ago0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375MidBuyKings88¢$18
1d ago0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375MidBuyKings88¢$37
1d ago0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375MidBuyKings88¢$37
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyHeat37¢$370
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyHeat37¢$370
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyHeat48¢$59
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyHeat48¢$59
1d ago0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375MidBuyKings55¢$213
1d ago0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375MidBuyKings55¢$302
1d ago0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375MidBuyKings55¢$213
1d ago0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375MidBuyKings55¢$302
1d ago0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375MidBuyKings55¢$172
1d ago0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375MidBuyKings55¢$172
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyKings51¢$28
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyKings51¢$28
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyHeat44¢$25
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyHeat44¢$25
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyHeat48¢$27
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyHeat48¢$54
1d ago0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375MidBuyKings44¢$3
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyHeat47¢$52
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyHeat47¢$52
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyHeat46¢$51
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyHeat46¢$103
1d agodarkumbreon88MidBuyKings45¢$13
1d agodarkumbreon88MidBuyKings45¢$13
1d agodarkumbreon88MidBuyKings45¢$1
1d ago0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465MidBuyHeat54¢$10,169
1d agodarkumbreon88MidBuyKings45¢$1
1d agoluckycat888888TopBuyHeat55¢$5,500
1d agoluckycat888888TopBuyHeat55¢$5,500
2d agoOddstormMidBuyHeat55¢$188
2d agoOddstormMidBuyHeat55¢$188
2d agoCAcapMidBuyKings46¢$92
2d agodarkumbreon88MidBuyKings47¢$210
2d agodarkumbreon88MidBuyKings47¢$2,653
2d agodarkumbreon88MidBuyKings47¢$330
2d agodarkumbreon88MidBuyKings47¢$210
2d agoSnakeBallMidBuyKings46¢$40
2d agogagarin59MidBuyKings48¢$935
2d agogagarin59MidBuyKings47¢$2
2d agogagarin59MidBuyKings47¢$2
2d agogagarin59MidBuyKings47¢$2
2d agogagarin59MidBuyKings47¢$1
2d agogagarin59MidBuyKings47¢$0
2d agoianf2026MidBuyKings50¢$1,549
2d agoianf2026MidBuyKings50¢$715
2d agoianf2026MidBuyKings51¢$588
2d agoianf2026MidBuyKings51¢$701