Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
ActiveLiquidity $42.7K·Volume $8,394·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Grizzlies40%Pelicans61%
Smart money leans
Pelicans
61% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
61%price61%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$487 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$983
72h +$983
Smart money entered60¢61¢at 15:46(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 8h 14m(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$42.7K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Pelicans", with $487 riding on it.
The price of 61% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 60¢; the price was 61¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $487 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$983, +$983 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 15:46
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816Mid | Buy | Pelicans | 60¢ | $487 |
| 2h ago | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816Mid | Buy | Pelicans | 60¢ | $487 |