Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
ActiveLiquidity $51.6K·Volume $11.7K·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Grizzlies42%Pelicans59%
Smart money leans
Pelicans
59% at snapshot
Divergence
-1.0pp
model below price
Consensus
54%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
59%price57%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,415 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,453
72h +$2,453
Smart money entered58¢59¢at 15:46Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 8h 14m(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$51.6K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is narrowly leaning toward betting on "Pelicans", with $2,415 riding on it.
The price of 59% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 58¢; the price was 59¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $2,415 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,453, +$2,453 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 15:46
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816Mid | Buy | Pelicans | 58¢ | $1,430 |
| 2h ago | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816Mid | Buy | Pelicans | 57¢ | $986 |
| 2h ago | fyrskenMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 43¢ | $161 |
| 3h ago | ay118Mid | Buy | Grizzlies | 44¢ | $997 |
| 3h ago | ay118Mid | Buy | Grizzlies | 44¢ | $997 |
| 3h ago | ay118Mid | Buy | Grizzlies | 44¢ | $12 |
| 3h ago | ay118Mid | Buy | Grizzlies | 44¢ | $12 |