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Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)

ActiveLiquidity $85.8K·Volume $12.5K·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Grizzlies50%Pelicans51%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 15:46computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Pelicans
51% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.2pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
51%price51%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$4,959 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$9,450
72h +$9,450
Smart money entered51¢51¢at 15:46(0% priced in)Edge left+0.2ppLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 8h 14m(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$85.8K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Pelicans", with $4,959 riding on it.

The price of 51% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 51¢; the price was 51¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $4,959 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$9,450, +$9,450 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.