Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
ActiveLiquidity $61.2K·Volume $6,380·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Grizzlies54%Pelicans47%
Smart money leans
Pelicans
47% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.2pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
47%price47%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,915 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$5,801
72h +$5,801
Smart money entered47¢47¢at 15:46(0% priced in)Edge left+0.2ppLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 8h 14m(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$61.2K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Pelicans", with $2,915 riding on it.
The price of 47% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 47¢; the price was 47¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,915 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$5,801, +$5,801 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 15:46
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816Mid | Buy | Pelicans | 47¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816Mid | Buy | Pelicans | 47¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816Mid | Buy | Pelicans | 47¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816Mid | Buy | Pelicans | 47¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816Mid | Buy | Pelicans | 47¢ | $2,916 |
| 2h ago | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816Mid | Buy | Pelicans | 47¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816Mid | Buy | Pelicans | 47¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816Mid | Buy | Pelicans | 47¢ | $2,916 |
| 2h ago | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816Mid | Buy | Pelicans | 47¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816Mid | Buy | Pelicans | 47¢ | $18 |