Jeremiah Fears: Assists O/U 5.5
ActiveLiquidity $6,453·Volume $6,133·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Yes51%No50%
Smart money leans
No
48% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
66%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
48%price48%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$238 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$476
72h +$476
Smart money entered49¢48¢at 01:52(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy8h agoResolvesended(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$6,453
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is somewhat betting on "No", with $238 riding on it.
The price of 48% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 49¢; the price was 48¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $238 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$476, +$476 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 01:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0x6dd9…bfe8Mid | Buy | Yes | 57¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | 0x6dd9…bfe8Mid | Buy | Yes | 57¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | 0x6dd9…bfe8Mid | Buy | Yes | 57¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | 0x6dd9…bfe8Mid | Buy | Yes | 57¢ | $9 |
| 3h ago | 0x6dd9…bfe8Mid | Buy | Yes | 57¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | 0x6dd9…bfe8Mid | Buy | Yes | 57¢ | $2 |
| 4h ago | 0x6dd9…bfe8Mid | Buy | Yes | 57¢ | $205 |
| 8h ago | 0xc2494b32d65DeA3a3A80712589d10bC5733f8a61-1774333132835Top | Buy | No | 49¢ | $151 |
| 8h ago | 0xc2494b32d65DeA3a3A80712589d10bC5733f8a61-1774333132835Top | Buy | No | 49¢ | $151 |
| 8h ago | 0xc2494b32d65DeA3a3A80712589d10bC5733f8a61-1774333132835Top | Buy | No | 49¢ | $95 |
| 8h ago | 0xc2494b32d65DeA3a3A80712589d10bC5733f8a61-1774333132835Top | Buy | No | 49¢ | $95 |