TailSlip
Log in

Command Palette

Search for a command to run...

Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $109.0K·Volume $8,666·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Over49%Under51%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 18:50computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Over
48% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
48%price48%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$363 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$311
72h +$311
Smart money entered50¢48¢at 18:50(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy3h agoResolvesin 1h 9m(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$109.0K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Over", with $363 riding on it.

The price of 48% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 50¢; the price was 48¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $363 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$311, +$311 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 18:50
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
3h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyOver48¢$115
3h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyOver48¢$394
3h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyUnder49¢$162
3h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyUnder49¢$158
3h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyUnder48¢$4
4h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyUnder48¢$5
4h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyUnder48¢$289
4h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyUnder48¢$289
5h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyUnder46¢$8
5h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyUnder46¢$28
8h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyOver53¢$11
8h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyOver53¢$140
8h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyOver53¢$140
8h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyOver52¢$274
8h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyOver52¢$274
8h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyOver51¢$13
8h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyOver51¢$13
14h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyUnder50¢$55