Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
ActiveLiquidity $122.9K·Volume $47.1K·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Lakers53%Suns48%
Smart money leans
Suns
48% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
48%price48%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$3,617 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$3,624
72h +$3,624
Smart money entered48¢48¢at 17:20(23% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 2h 39m(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$122.9K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Suns", with $3,617 riding on it.
The price of 48% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 48¢; the price was 48¢ at this snapshot — roughly 23% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $3,617 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$3,624, +$3,624 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:20
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Suns | 47¢ | $53 |
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Suns | 47¢ | $27 |
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Suns | 47¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Suns | 47¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Suns | 47¢ | $9 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Suns | 47¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Suns | 47¢ | $17 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Suns | 48¢ | $2,233 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Suns | 48¢ | $1,172 |
| 9h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Lakers | 52¢ | $162 |
| 13h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Suns | 47¢ | $9 |
| 13h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Suns | 47¢ | $321 |
| 13h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Suns | 48¢ | $4 |