Spread: Lakers (-9.5)
ActiveLiquidity $29.7K·Volume $10.5K·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Lakers62%Bucks39%
Smart money leans
Bucks
39% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
39%price39%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$408 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$413
72h +$413
Smart money entered38¢39¢at 09:54(26% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy4h agoResolvesin 14h 6m(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$29.7K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Bucks", with $408 riding on it.
The price of 39% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 38¢; the price was 39¢ at this snapshot — roughly 26% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $408 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$413, +$413 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 09:54
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h ago | LuckyLooMid | Buy | Bucks | 38¢ | $408 |