Luka Dončić: Points O/U 34.5
ActiveLiquidity $3·Volume $2,327·Ends Nov 8, 2026
Price now:Yes50%No50%
Smart money leans
Yes
50% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.4pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
50%price50%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$410 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered41¢50¢at 05:29(36% priced in)Edge left+0.4ppLast smart buy5d agoResolvesended(Nov 8, 2026)Liquidity$3
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $410 riding on it.
The price of 50% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 41¢; the price was 50¢ at this snapshot — roughly 36% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $410 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:29
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d ago | 0x951f…e430Mid | Buy | Yes | 36¢ | $72 |
| 5d ago | 0x951f…e430Mid | Buy | Yes | 40¢ | $80 |
| 5d ago | 0x951f…e430Mid | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $258 |