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Spread: Hawks (-3.5)

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $187.9K·Volume $97.7K·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Hawks0%Lakers100%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 03:07computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Lakers
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$13.0K
Smart money entered55¢100¢at 03:07(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$187.9K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Lakers", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 55¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$13.0K on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 03:07
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1d agopauleta23MidBuyHawks21¢$14
1d agopauleta23MidBuyHawks21¢$13
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyHawks49¢$4
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyHawks49¢$4
1d agoSunlineTickerMidBuyHawks45¢$1,598
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyHawks45¢$40
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyHawks45¢$40
1d agoSunlineTickerMidBuyHawks45¢$1,598
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyHawks47¢$40
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyHawks47¢$40
1d agoRLWGMidBuyLakers54¢$3
1d agoRLWGMidBuyLakers54¢$3
1d agoRLWGMidBuyHawks45¢$1
1d agoRLWGMidBuyHawks45¢$2
1d agoRLWGMidBuyHawks45¢$1
1d agoRLWGMidBuyHawks45¢$2
1d agoRLWGMidBuyHawks45¢$2
1d agoRLWGMidBuyHawks45¢$2
1d agoCAcapMidBuyLakers55¢$220
1d agoCAcapMidBuyLakers56¢$112
1d agoSiddhartha1TopBuyLakers55¢$6,667
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuyLakers55¢$11
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuyLakers54¢$11
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuyLakers55¢$127
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyLakers54¢$40
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyHawks44¢$4
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyHawks44¢$4
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyHawks44¢$3
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyHawks44¢$3
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyHawks44¢$2
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyHawks44¢$2
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyHawks44¢$2
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyHawks44¢$2
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyHawks44¢$2
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyHawks44¢$2
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyHawks44¢$2
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyHawks44¢$16
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyHawks44¢$2
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyHawks44¢$2
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyHawks44¢$4
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyHawks44¢$4
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyHawks44¢$1