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Spread: Hawks (-2.5)

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $1.2M·Volume $235.6K·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Hawks0%Lakers100%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 02:27computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Lakers
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
8
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$449
72h +$68.2K
Smart money entered50¢100¢at 02:27(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$1.2M
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

8 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Lakers", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 50¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$449, +$68.2K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 02:27
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1d agoMalfunction-MidBuyLakers100¢$54
1d agoMalfunction-MidBuyLakers100¢$396
1d ago0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465MidBuyLakers50¢$17
1d ago0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465MidBuyLakers50¢$17
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyLakers47¢$22
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyLakers47¢$22
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyHawks51¢$57
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyHawks51¢$86
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyHawks51¢$57
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyHawks51¢$86
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyLakers42¢$4
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyLakers42¢$4
1d ago0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465MidBuyHawks56¢$16,504
1d ago0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465MidBuyHawks56¢$16,504
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyHawks54¢$60
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyHawks54¢$121
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyHawks54¢$121
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyHawks54¢$60
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyLakers45¢$50
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyLakers45¢$101
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyLakers45¢$50
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyLakers45¢$101
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyLakers49¢$34
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyLakers49¢$6
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyLakers49¢$6
1d agoBreakTheBankTopBuyLakers48¢$2
1d agoBreakTheBankTopBuyLakers48¢$2
1d agoBreakTheBankTopBuyLakers48¢$11
1d agoBreakTheBankTopBuyLakers48¢$11
1d agoSunlineTickerMidBuyLakers50¢$1,646
1d agoSunlineTickerMidBuyLakers50¢$1,646
1d agoBreakTheBankTopBuyLakers48¢$20
1d agoBreakTheBankTopBuyLakers48¢$20
1d agoRLWGMidBuyLakers49¢$2
1d agoRLWGMidBuyLakers49¢$10
1d agoRLWGMidBuyLakers49¢$17
1d agoZetaKappaEpsilonMidBuyLakers49¢$49
1d agoBreakTheBankTopBuyLakers48¢$2,544
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyLakers49¢$16
1d agoRLWGMidBuyLakers49¢$2
1d agoRLWGMidBuyLakers49¢$10
1d agoRLWGMidBuyLakers49¢$17
1d agoZetaKappaEpsilonMidBuyLakers49¢$49
1d agoBreakTheBankTopBuyLakers48¢$2,544
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyLakers49¢$16
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyLakers49¢$24
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyLakers49¢$24
1d agogeraldo777MidBuyHawks51¢$638
1d agoBreakTheBankTopBuyLakers49¢$613
1d agogeraldo777MidBuyHawks51¢$638