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Spread: Hawks (-1.5)

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $1.3M·Volume $191.4K·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Hawks1%Lakers99%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 03:31computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Lakers
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
60%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
9
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$100.7K
Smart money entered47¢99¢at 03:31(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$1.3M
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

9 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Lakers", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 47¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$100.7K on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 03:31
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1d agowhosayMidBuyLakers99¢$19
1d agowhosayMidBuyLakers99¢$19
1d agowhosayMidBuyLakers98¢$10
1d ago0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375MidBuyHawks27¢$2
1d ago0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375MidBuyHawks27¢$2
1d ago0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375MidBuyLakers50¢$9
1d ago0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465MidBuyLakers45¢$8,010
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyLakers45¢$40
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyLakers45¢$40
1d agoSunlineTickerMidBuyLakers46¢$1,829
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyLakers46¢$40
1d agoSunlineTickerMidBuyLakers46¢$1,829
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyLakers46¢$40
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyHawks53¢$40
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyHawks53¢$40
1d ago0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksMidBuyHawks54¢$32
1d ago0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksMidBuyHawks54¢$32
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyLakers46¢$2,307
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyLakers46¢$2,307
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyLakers47¢$11,895
1d agoRLWGMidBuyHawks53¢$3
1d agoRLWGMidBuyHawks53¢$16
1d agoRLWGMidBuyHawks53¢$3
1d agoRLWGMidBuyHawks53¢$16
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyLakers47¢$11,895
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuyLakers46¢$9
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuyLakers46¢$9
1d agoRLWGMidBuyHawks52¢$2
1d agoRLWGMidBuyHawks52¢$2
1d agoCAcapMidBuyLakers48¢$96
1d agotoottootMidBuyLakers48¢$98
1d agoSiddhartha1TopBuyLakers48¢$6,667
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuyLakers47¢$108
1d agoCAcapMidBuyLakers47¢$188
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyLakers47¢$40
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuyLakers47¢$9
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyHawks51¢$40
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuyHawks49¢$10
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuyHawks49¢$10
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyHawks51¢$40
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuyLakers47¢$9
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyLakers49¢$40
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyLakers49¢$22
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyLakers49¢$22
1d agoianf2026MidBuyHawks50¢$2
1d agoianf2026MidBuyHawks50¢$2
1d agoianf2026MidBuyHawks50¢$60
1d agoianf2026MidBuyHawks50¢$60
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyLakers49¢$10
1d agoSnakeBallMidBuyLakers49¢$10