Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
ActiveLiquidity $161.0K·Volume $38.2K·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:76ers52%Pacers48%
Smart money leans
76ers
43% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
43%price43%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$6,750 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$6,750
72h +$6,750
Smart money entered44¢43¢at 18:50(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$161.0K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "76ers", with $6,750 riding on it.
The price of 43% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 44¢; the price was 43¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $6,750 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$6,750, +$6,750 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 18:50
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Pacers | 57¢ | $305 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | 76ers | 43¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | hi774cMid | Buy | 76ers | 44¢ | $125 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | 76ers | 44¢ | $5,932 |
| 2h ago | hi774cMid | Buy | 76ers | 44¢ | $4,275 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Pacers | 54¢ | $4,382 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Pacers | 53¢ | $4 |
| 3h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | 76ers | 42¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | 76ers | 41¢ | $431 |