Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
ActiveLiquidity $370.5K·Volume $28.4K·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Spurs70%Warriors31%
Smart money leans
Warriors
51% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
97%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
51%price51%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$413 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$852
72h +$852
Smart money entered49¢51¢at 01:52(82% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy16h agoResolvesended(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$370.5K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Warriors", with $413 riding on it.
The price of 51% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 49¢; the price was 51¢ at this snapshot — roughly 82% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $413 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$852, +$852 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 01:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0xa427…7c1dMid | Buy | Spurs | 50¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0xa427…7c1dMid | Buy | Spurs | 50¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0xa427…7c1dMid | Buy | Spurs | 50¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | 0xa427…7c1dMid | Buy | Spurs | 50¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | 0xa427…7c1dMid | Buy | Spurs | 50¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | 0xa427…7c1dMid | Buy | Spurs | 50¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | 0xa427…7c1dMid | Buy | Spurs | 50¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | 0xa427…7c1dMid | Buy | Spurs | 50¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | 0xa427…7c1dMid | Buy | Spurs | 50¢ | $4 |
| 16h ago | ay118Mid | Buy | Warriors | 49¢ | $413 |
| 16h ago | ay118Mid | Buy | Warriors | 49¢ | $413 |