Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 239.5
ActiveLiquidity $39·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Over99%Under1%
Smart money leans
Over
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
99%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$670
72h +$670
Smart money entered50¢99¢at 05:18(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$39
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Over", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 50¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$670, +$670 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:18
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | 0xc308…7b09Mid | Buy | Under | 1.0¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | 0xc308…7b09Mid | Buy | Under | 1.0¢ | $5 |
| 4h ago | 0x223b…b04bMid | Buy | Over | 50¢ | $98 |
| 4h ago | kitopesivanMid | Buy | Over | 50¢ | $23 |
| 4h ago | 0x223b…b04bMid | Buy | Over | 50¢ | $98 |
| 4h ago | kitopesivanMid | Buy | Over | 50¢ | $23 |
| 4h ago | kitopesivanMid | Buy | Over | 50¢ | $50 |
| 4h ago | kitopesivanMid | Buy | Over | 50¢ | $50 |
| 4h ago | kitopesivanMid | Buy | Under | 29¢ | $1 |