Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 219.5
ActiveLiquidity $75.3K·Volume $6,028·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Over56%Under44%
Smart money leans
Under
45% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.2pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
45%price45%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$1,798 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,793
72h +$1,793
Smart money entered47¢45¢at 21:49(0% priced in)Edge left+0.2ppLast smart buy3h agoResolvesin 1h 11m(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$75.3K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Under", with $1,798 riding on it.
The price of 45% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 47¢; the price was 45¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,798 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,793, +$1,793 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 21:49
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | 0xheavy888Mid | Buy | Under | 45¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 47¢ | $1,553 |
| 3h ago | 0xheavy888Mid | Buy | Under | 46¢ | $9 |
| 3h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 47¢ | $107 |
| 7h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 47¢ | $2 |
| 8h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 47¢ | $219 |