Spread: Pistons (-8.5)
ActiveLiquidity $84.0K·Volume $946·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Pistons0%Wizards100%
Smart money leans
Wizards
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,287
72h +$1,287
Smart money entered76¢100¢at 05:24(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$84.0K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Wizards", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 76¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,287, +$1,287 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:24
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | justaluckydudeMid | Buy | Wizards | 89¢ | $890 |
| 4h ago | justaluckydudeMid | Buy | Pistons | 57¢ | $10 |
| 4h ago | justaluckydudeMid | Buy | Pistons | 57¢ | $10 |
| 5h ago | justaluckydudeMid | Buy | Pistons | 51¢ | $26 |
| 5h ago | justaluckydudeMid | Buy | Pistons | 51¢ | $26 |
| 5h ago | justaluckydudeMid | Buy | Wizards | 45¢ | $95 |
| 5h ago | justaluckydudeMid | Buy | Wizards | 45¢ | $95 |
| 5h ago | 0xb26b…7baaMid | Buy | Pistons | 50¢ | $7 |