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Spread: Pistons (-10.5)

ActiveLiquidity $44.0K·Volume $22.4K·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Pistons48%Wizards53%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:46computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Wizards
53% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
53%price53%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,542 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,557
72h +$1,557
Smart money entered52¢53¢at 07:46(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4h agoResolvesin 15h 14m(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$44.0K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Wizards", with $1,542 riding on it.

The price of 53% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 52¢; the price was 53¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $1,542 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,557, +$1,557 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:46
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
4h agoHomeRunHazardMidBuyWizards52¢$1,542