Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5
ActiveLiquidity $2,692·Volume $5,750·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Yes41%No59%
Smart money leans
Yes
32% at snapshot
Divergence
+1.2pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
32%price33%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,732 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,640
72h +$2,640
Smart money entered43¢32¢at 18:52(0% priced in)Edge left+1.2ppLast smart buy3h agoResolvesin 4h 8m(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$2,692
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,732 riding on it.
The price of 32% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 43¢; the price was 32¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,732 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,640, +$2,640 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 18:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | 0xeA3DeD580E454AAdaffd7c2df80616AA8e39524D-1779286950371Mid | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $95 |
| 3h ago | 0xeA3DeD580E454AAdaffd7c2df80616AA8e39524D-1779286950371Mid | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $430 |
| 3h ago | 0xeA3DeD580E454AAdaffd7c2df80616AA8e39524D-1779286950371Mid | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $86 |
| 3h ago | 0xeA3DeD580E454AAdaffd7c2df80616AA8e39524D-1779286950371Mid | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $86 |
| 3h ago | 0xeA3DeD580E454AAdaffd7c2df80616AA8e39524D-1779286950371Mid | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $430 |
| 3h ago | 0xeA3DeD580E454AAdaffd7c2df80616AA8e39524D-1779286950371Mid | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $1,236 |
| 3h ago | 0xeA3DeD580E454AAdaffd7c2df80616AA8e39524D-1779286950371Mid | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $1,236 |
| 3h ago | 0xeA3DeD580E454AAdaffd7c2df80616AA8e39524D-1779286950371Mid | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | 0xeA3DeD580E454AAdaffd7c2df80616AA8e39524D-1779286950371Mid | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $2 |